China’s auto

China to export 10mn cars per year by 2030

China’s auto industry is likely to sell more than 40 million vehicles per year over the next five years – including 10 million to the overseas market—as the sector still has “vast potential” for growth, according to an industry insider, reports the South China Morning Post. The estimate by Cui Dongshu, secretary general of the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), indicates that China’s auto industry—already the world’s top exporter in volume terms—could see overseas sales nearly double by 2030.

Cui acknowledged in an article posted online on Saturday that his estimate may be more optimistic than the general consensus, but stressed that China had the ability to achieve it as there was still plenty of room for growth in both the domestic and global markets.

“There is still vast potential for market expansion in China’s less developed regions, such as mid-western districts and rural areas, where car ownership levels could gradually surpass those in metropolises like Beijing and Shanghai,” he said.

by https://chinaeconomicreview.com/china-to-export-10mn-cars-per-year-by-2030/

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Nigeria’s auto industry is in need of government support

Nigeria’s automotive sector, which was once seen as a path to industrial growth and job creation, is now arguably stalled. This indeed calls for concern, as it reflects deeper national problems. Despite being Africa’s biggest economy with over 220 million people, it’s saddening that we still depend heavily on imported vehicles. In 2023 alone, more than 400,000 vehicles were imported, while local production was under 10,000. The gap is not encouraging for the local automotive industry, but the question that keeps begging for an answer is: why hasn’t the country built a stronger local auto industry? The main reasons are poor infrastructure, inconsistent policy, and weak government commitment. Plans like the National Automotive Industry Development Plan (NAIDP), introduced in 2013, never gained real traction. They lacked follow-through; hence their failure.

Local assemblers such as Innoson Vehicle Manufacturing, PAN Nigeria, and Stallion Group are trying to stay in business, but then, they face high production costs, unreliable electricity, import-dependent parts, and limited access to government grants and credit. Innoson Motors once even said it operates at less than 30% of capacity because of these constraints.

Building cars in Nigeria costs far more than importing them. The Nigerian Bureau of Statistics reports that assembling a vehicle locally costs 20 to 30 percent more than importing a used car, even with tariffs. Most Nigerians can’t afford new vehicles given financial constraints, so they turn to used imports, often referred to as ‘tokunbo’. Import tariffs were also supposed to make local assembly more attractive. But without reliable infrastructure and policy enforcement, they’ve only raised prices for consumers while doing little to help manufacturers.

Road and logistics challenges also add to the cost. Distributing vehicles is expensive due to poor road networks. Nigeria ranked 112th out of 139 countries in the World Bank’s 2023 Logistics Performance Index. This, unarguably, hurts competitiveness and scares off investors. The industry also suffers from limited scale because vehicle production is quite expensive and needs high volume to reduce costs. But fewer than 10% of the annual vehicle sales in Nigeria are for new cars. Without big institutional buyers or government procurement, local assemblers can’t grow.

by https://businessday.ng/opinion/article/nigerias-auto-industry-is-in-need-of-government-support/